K Covid Deaths Not Counted In Gujarat: Report
- There have been several reports in local Gujarati newspapers about deaths due to Covid being higher than the official figures in several regions.
The Congress, the main opposition in Gujarat, has demanded an inquiry after a report in a Gujarati newspaper on Friday used data on the number of death certificates issued to claim that the state has seen almost 61,000 excess deaths between March 1 and May 10 compared to the same period last year.
Divya Bhaskar reported that local bodies issued 123,871 death certificates between March 1 and May 10, compared to 58,000 in the same period last year. The data was based on disclosures by municipal authorities in 33 districts and eight major cities, the paper reported. The report added that in the same period, death certificates issued by each of the 33 districts for Covid-19 fatalities came to 4,218.
The report, which highlights a possible under-reporting of Covid-19 deaths is similar to excess-deaths studies conducted in many parts of the world that showed a rise in accounted deaths during the pandemic.
On Friday, Gujarat reported 9,995 new Covid-19 cases and 104 deaths from the infection in the last 24 hours, taking the states tally and toll to 735,348 and 8,944 respectively.
What Do ‘excess Deaths’ Show Us
More accurate death counts will help the world “understand what went wrong from a public health and policy perspective” during the pandemic, says Sandefur. To determine what could have “been done to limit the death toll, we have to understand the scale and scope of the tragedy,” he says.
Mokdad agrees with Sandefur’s assessment. For example, he says, a realistic COVID death count will shed light on the impact of vaccine inequality the lack of doses provided in a timely fashion to low-resource countries.
Knowing the death counts will also bring new insights into the “ripple effects that we are only beginning to understand such as erosion of confidence in the health system and state,” says Liana Rosenkrantz Woskie of the Harvard Global Health Institute.
There’s also a very human reason for finding the truth. “Accurate accounting of death is also one of the simplest dignities,” says Woskie. “Knowing how and why your family member died is fundamental to grieving but also to knowing that they were valued by society and their loss might help mitigate future harm.”
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Kerala added 7,772 fresh cases, pushing the caseload to 49,44,857, while the number of deaths rose to 31,156 with 471 more deaths. Of the 471 deaths, 86 were reported on Friday while the rest have been added in the last few days as backlog fatalities get certified as Covid deaths.
Maharashtra reported 1,338 fewer coronavirus infections in the last 24 hours, as per the state health bulletin. As many as 36 people died in the state during the day, while 1,584 patients were discharged from hospitals in the last 24 hours and a total number of 64,47,038 patients discharged so far.
Delhi reported a positivity rate – number of positive cases identified per 100 – of 0.06 per cent as it reported 37 new COVID-19 cases in the last 24 hours. There was no fatality in the city due to the disease during the period. The total count of coronavirus cases in the city has gone up to 14,39,788 and the active caseload in the city stands at 334.
More than 90 per cent of people in Delhi are carrying anti-bodies for coronavirus, sources said on Wednesday after the sixth sero-survey report of the national capital was prepped. The figure includes antibodies formed through vaccination, which has progressed at a rapid pace.
With the city witnessing a sharp decline in cases, the Delhi government has relaxed norms for cinema halls, theatres, multiplexes, which will now be allowed to reopen with full seating capacity from Monday.
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Estimated Distributions Of Covid
The percentages of COVID-19 deaths by race and Hispanic origin were calculated by dividing the number of COVID-19 deaths for each race and Hispanic origin group by the total number of COVID-19 deaths. Percentages may not sum to 100 due to rounding.
In April and May 2020, the majority of COVID-19 deaths in the U.S. occurred in urban areas that have a larger percentage of their populations that are non-Hispanic black, non-Hispanic Asian, or Hispanic, and a smaller percentage that are non-Hispanic white. Weighted population distributions use county-level data to more closely align the population distributions with the specific areas where COVID-19 deaths were occurring. To account for the geographic clustering of COVID-19 deaths, weighted population distributions, which more closely matched the areas initially most affected by COVID-19 deaths, were provided in order to reflect differential risk within the areas most affected by COVID-19 deaths. As the pandemic has become more widespread across the U.S., there is less need to align the population distributions with the specific geographic areas experiencing COVID-19 outbreaks and mortality. While weighted estimates are no longer included in the data visualization, the estimates can still be found in the data file.
We Dont Know The True Death Rate
The lack of nuance in Australias COVID-19 death tally means the true death rate may be unknown, and may be adjusted in the future.
For example, on August 31 Victoria recorded only eight COVID-19 deaths from the previous 24 hours, but also added 33 historical deaths to the toll. According to the states Chief Health Officer Brett Sutton, this backlog was due to changes in how aged care providers reported COVID-19 deaths, and differences in reporting methods between the state and federal governments.
On September 4 there were six deaths recorded over the previous 24-hours, but a further 53 historical deaths were added to the daily toll, 50 of which were related to aged care.
There is a lack of transparency about why there is a discrepancy between how Victoria and the Commonwealth count COVID-19 deaths.
A spokesperson for federal Aged Care Minister Richard Colbeck suggested delays in data collection and reporting are the primary reasons for the discrepancies. But there appeared to be confusion in early August in the aged care sector about the necessity of reporting all COVID-19 related deaths, including those involving other causes or comorbidity factors, according to a letter written to Victorian aged care providers from the secretary for the Department of Health, Brendan Murphy.
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Estimates Of Disparities And Adjusting For Age
Disparities are estimated as the difference between the share of COVID-19 deaths experienced by a given race or Hispanic origin group and their share of the population. For example, if 13% of the population is non-Hispanic black, but approximately 25% of COVID-19 decedents are non-Hispanic black, then the difference would be 12%. Positive values indicate that a group represents a greater share of COVID-19 deaths than the population. Negative values for this difference suggest that a given group represents a smaller share of COVID-19 deaths than their share of the population.
Disparities are shown by age group, and age-standardized estimates are also provided. Age-standardized estimates were calculated by multiplying each age-specific distribution by the proportion of the standard 2000 US population in that age group, and then summing these estimates over age groups. Age is therefore controlled for across the different distributions and racial/ethnic groups. Age-standardized distributions show what disparities would look like, assuming that all of the groups had the same age distribution as the 2000 standard population.
Want To Inform Others About The Accuracy Of This Story
Lead Stories is working with the CoronaVirusFacts/DatosCoronaVirus Alliance, a coalition of more than 100 fact-checkers who are fighting misinformation related to the COVID-19 pandemic. Learn more about the alliance here.
Ed Payne is a writer and fact-checker at Lead Stories. He is an Emmy Award-winning journalist as part of CNNâs coverage of 9/11. Ed worked at CNN for nearly 24 years with the CNN Radio Network and CNN Digital. Most recently, he was a Digital Senior Producer for Gray Televisionâs Digital Content Center, the companyâs digital news hub for 100+ TV stations. Ed also worked as a writer and editor for WebMD. In addition to his journalistic endeavors, Ed is the author of two childrenâs book series: âThe Daily Rounds of a Houndâ and âVailâs Tales.â
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How Are Covid Deaths Counted Some Say Politics Come Into Play
NEW ORLEANS When COVID-19 deaths in the U.S. went beyond 500,000 this week, there was a lot of attention paid to that figure. It also prompted some people to question how COVID deaths are determined.
An online and often political debate raises a recurring question: If a COVID victim had an underlying health condition, did that person die from COVID or is it more accurate to say that person died with COVID?
Some claim the COVID death toll is inflated and the media uses that to cause undue concern.
It makes me angry when I say my mom died from COVID that they feel the need to clarify that or to question that. I dont think they would appreciate me questioning why their mother died, Joan Soboloff said.
Her mother, 97-year-old Myra Soboloff, died in late December. Joan says before her mother died, she tested positive for COVID just one week earlier.
She says theres no question her mom died from COVID.
She was eating fine, all of her internal organs were working fine, all of her vitals were great. She got COVID on Monday, December the 21st, then she was dead the following Monday. So, there are no ifs, ands or buts, Joan said.
On her mothers initial death certificate, a physician listed the cause of death as senile degeneration of the brain.” COVID-19 was not mentioned.
Comparing Data In This Report To Other Sources
Provisional death counts in this report will not match counts in other sources, such as media reports or numbers from county health departments. Death data, once received and processed by National Center for Health Statistics , are tabulated by the state or jurisdiction in which the death occurred. Death counts are not tabulated by the decedents state of residence. COVID-19 deaths may also be classified or defined differently in various reporting and surveillance systems. Death counts in this report include laboratory confirmed COVID-19 deaths and clinically confirmed COVID-19 deaths. This includes deaths where COVID-19 is listed as a presumed or probable cause. Some local and state health departments only report laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 deaths. This may partly account for differences between NCHS reported death counts and death counts reported in other sources. Provisional counts reported here track approximately 12 weeks behind other published data sources on the number of COVID-19 deaths in the U.S. .
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The Death Certificate Process
Many people think of a death certificate as a precise final verdict. But often, the document reflects a judgment that weighs the roles of multiple conditions, taking into account a persons medical history along with their most recent medical data and symptoms.
There always have been cases where there are gray areas of death certification, says Aiken, immediate past president of the National Association of Medical Examiners.
COVID-19 cases can paint lots of gray. In an instructional video for filling out death certificates in cases that might or might not be attributed to COVID-19, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention advises health professionals to use your best clinical judgment.
Here is how the process typically works:
Jill Biden Delivers Back
On Sept. 22, CNN triumphantly announced that 200,000 people had died from COVID-19 in the United States.
CNN tried various ways of rubbing in the 200,000 figure. Their best effort was an infographic blaring, US COVID-19 deaths are equal to having the 9/11 attacks every day for 66 days.
Heres a less biased, but less catchy, comparison: 2020s attributed COVID-19 deaths were equivalent to having another 2017-2018 flu and pneumonia season boosted by 13 percent.
The CDC estimated that about 177,000 Americans died during the 2017-2018 flu season, from either the flu itself or by complications of pneumonia. That was a bad year, noted at the time, but mostly by medical professionals. Those with good memories will recall seeing more Wash Your Hands and Cough Into Your Elbows posters.
Still, nobody remembers a panic. Just as nobody remembers mask mandates or political leaders shutting down small businesses and locking the healthy in their homes. Because, of course, none of that happened.
On the same day as CNNs announcement, the CDC officially posted a total 187,072 deaths attributed in some way to COVID-19. Deaths were boosted to a hair under 300,000 after adding in pneumonia and flu.
The CDC itself caused a stir at the end of August by estimating that the virus directly caused only 6 percent, or now just over 11,000 of the 187,000 attributed deaths. Most of these deaths were in the elderly.
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Are Deaths Unrelated To Covid
You may have seen a version of this on social media:
The claim: Arizonans who are suspected to have COVID-19 and have died in recent months have all been marked as COVID-19, even if they did not die from COVID-19.
This claim originates from the Federal CARES Act passed by Congress and signed into law by President Trump in March. A provision in the appropriation allows for the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, also known as CMS, to compensate hospitals at a higher level for the treatment of COVID-19. According to factcheck.org, speculation that hospitals were taking advantage of this increased payout for services began after Dr. Scott Jensen, a Minnesota physician and state legislator appeared on a national talk show to assert that hospitals get paid more for COVID-19 patients, significantly more when a ventilator is required. Almost immediately following this, social media memes claiming that hospitals get additional money for diagnosing COVID-19 deaths began to pop up.
Chatter on hospitals wrongly coding COVID-19 deaths picked up again when a man who died in a motorcycle crash was counted as a COVID-19 death. It reached the highest levels of government when US House Representative Blaine Luetkemeyer stated in a hearing that hospitals and attendant physicians have a perverse incentive to mark a death as COVID-19 to qualify for the higher CMS compensation.
The answer is very likely no.
This is simply not the case.
Daily Confirmed Deaths Per Million People
Why adjust for the size of the population?
Differences in the population size between countries are often large, and the COVID-19 death count in more populous countries tends to be higher. Because of this it can be insightful to know how the number of confirmed deaths in a country compares to the number of people who live there, especially when comparing across countries.
For instance, if 1,000 people died in Iceland, out of a population of about 340,000, that would have a far bigger impact than the same number dying in the United States, with its population of 331 million.1 This difference in impact is clear when comparing deaths per million people of each countrys population in this example it would be roughly 3 deaths/million people in the US compared to a staggering 2,941 deaths/million people in Iceland.
Three tips on how to interact with this map
- You can focus on a particular world region using the dropdown menu to the top-right of the map.
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What Is The Impact Of Covid
The pandemic has had an unequal impact regionally . The highest numbers of Covid-19 deaths in 2020 and to 9 April 2021 have been in the South East and the North West. Covid-19 deaths as a proportion of total deaths during this period have been highest in London and the North West , and lowest in the South West .
Obesity: Excess weight is associated with an increased risk of a positive test for Covid-19, hospitalisation, severe disease and death. The risks increase progressively with increasing body mass index above the healthy weight range.
Disability:3 People in England with a disability have a higher risk of dying from Covid-19. For deaths to 20 November 2020, the risk of dying was 23 times higher in disabled men and women compared with non-disabled people after adjustment for demographic, socio-economic and health related factors, the risk was up to 1.4 times higher. For people with a medically diagnosed learning disability, the risk of dying from Covid-19 was 3.7 times greater compared with people without a learning disability. After adjustment for a range of factors, among which communal living was the most significant contributor, the risk remained 1.7 times higher.
- 3. Analysis of disability was based on responses to a question in the 2011 Census, reflecting individuals own assessment of disability. Learning disability is based on clinical diagnosis by a medical practitioner.
Estimated Completeness Of Data
Provisional data are incomplete, and the level of completeness varies by jurisdiction, week, decedents age, and cause of death. Until data for a calendar year are finalized, typically in December of the following year, completeness of provisional data cannot be determined. However, completeness can be estimated in a variety of ways. Surveillance systems that rely on weekly monitoring of provisional mortality data, such as CDCs FluView Interactive mortality surveillance , estimate completeness by comparing the count of deaths in a given week of the current year to the average count of deaths in that same week in previous years. These estimates can be generated for specific causes of death, jurisdictions, and age groups, and updated on a weekly or daily basis. For the purposes of COVID-19 surveillance, completeness is approximated by comparing the provisional number of deaths received to the number of expected deaths based on prior years data. Percent of expected deaths provided in this data release are based on the total count of deaths in the most recent weeks of the current year, compared with an average across the same weeks in previous years. These estimates of completeness are calculated by week, month and year, jurisdiction of occurrence, and age group.
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