How Many Covid Deaths In India

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Researchers Estimated Number Of Fatalities Caused By The Disease At About Four Million Which Would Be 10 Times The Official Count

India’s Covid-19 death rate ‘five times higher than official figures suggest’ | ITV News

NEW DELHIThe true tally of Covid-19 deaths in India following a devastating spring surge is likely close to 10 times higher than the countrys official count, marking the pandemic as one of the worst tragedies to ever hit the South Asian nation, according to a new study.

India has officially recorded more than 414,000 coronavirus deaths, but scientists and researchers have said that number undercounts the real toll. When Indias cases peaked in April and May, hospitals across the country were forced to turn away patients who later died at home, often untested.

The study pegged excess deathsor the number of people who died beyond what is normally expectedat between 3.4 million and 4.7 million from January 2020 to June 2021, according to the report released Tuesday from Arvind Subramanian, a former chief economic adviser for the Indian government, and researchers at the Center for Global Development and Harvard University.

One estimate in the study pegged Covid-19 deaths at about four million, roughly 10 times the official count. True deaths are likely to be in the several millions, not hundreds of thousands, making this arguably Indias worst human tragedy since partition and independence, the report said.

India: What Is The Daily Number Of Confirmed Cases

Related charts:

This chart shows the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases per day. This is shown as the seven-day rolling average.

What is important to note about these case figures?
  • The reported case figures on a given date do not necessarily show the number of new cases on that day this is due to delays in reporting.
  • The actual number of cases is likely to be much higher than the number of confirmed cases this is due to limited testing. In a separate post we discuss how models of COVID-19 help us estimate the actual number of cases.

We provide more detail on these points in our page on Cases of COVID-19.

Five quick reminders on how to interact with this chart

India Reports New Spike Of Nearly 4000 Covid

Health care workers are still recovering from immense physical and mental health tolls of second wave, urging public health and safety precautions as lockdowns subside

New Delhi, India — India recently reported 3,998 COVID-19 deaths in a single day, the countrys highest death toll in a month, indicating that a third wave is imminent. Some models estimate that Indias total COVID-19 death toll could be 10 to 15 times higher than official government estimates. Thus, single-day deaths may also be much higher than currently reported. With newly diagnosed infections hovering above 40,000 each day, Project HOPE warns that the country must immediately prepare to mitigate the effects of the new wave marked by the wide circulation of the more deadly Delta variant and should continue implementing public health and safety measures.

Ray Kancharla, Project HOPEs team lead in India, issued the following on-the-ground updates:

Prevention is the only cure right now. Though nationally there has been a decline in COVID-19 cases and deaths since the second wave subsided in mid-June, and lockdowns have eased slightly, the recent jump in COVID-19 deaths is a stark reminder that the risk of this virus is not over.

Project HOPE In India

Interviews & Photos available upon request.

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Devastating Wave Of Covid Infections Sweeps Across Indonesia

The number of people infected by the virus at the Olympic Games has climbed to 71. The number includes international visitors who have come to work at the Games. The Olympics chief also said he had “doubts” and “sleepless nights” over organizing the summer Games.

More than half of Australia’s 25 million people are under lockdown,  after South Australia became the third state to announced COVID lockdown rules, joining extended lockdown in Victoria and Sydney. New South Wales, home to Sydney, is tackling the worst COVID outbreak this year, with more than 1,400 cases since last month when the first case was reported.

South Australia, a state of 1.8 million people, imposed a seven-day lockdown after detecting five infections linked to a returned traveler. “We hate putting these restrictions in place but we believe we have one chance to get this right,” South Australia premier Steven Marshall told reporters.

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Data Sources And How To Use These Charts

Data sources:

The data on confirmed cases and confirmed deaths shown in these visualizations is updated daily and is published by Johns Hopkins University, the best available global dataset on the pandemic.

The data on testing was collected by us more detail can be found here.

How to use these charts:

  • On many charts it is possible to add any country by clicking on Add country.
  • Other charts can only show the data for one country at a time these charts have a change country option in the bottom left corner of the chart.
  • Many charts have a blue adjustable time-slider underneath the charts.

Licensing and how to embed our charts

We license all charts under Creative Commons BY and they can be embedded in any site. Here is how.

Country-by-country data on the pandemic

This page has a large number of charts on the pandemic. In the box below you can select any country you are interested in or several, if you want to compare countries.

All charts on this page will then show data for the countries that you selected.

The doubling time of confirmed deaths

Confirmed COVID-19 deaths by country

Total confirmed COVID-19 deaths

Are countries bending the curve for COVID-19 deaths?

Trajectories of total deaths

Trajectories of per capita deaths

What Do Excess Deaths Show Us

More accurate death counts will help the world “understand what went wrong from a public health and policy perspective” during the pandemic, says Sandefur. To determine what could have “been done to limit the death toll, we have to understand the scale and scope of the tragedy,” he says.

Mokdad agrees with Sandefur’s assessment. For example, he says, a realistic COVID death count will shed light on the impact of vaccine inequality the lack of doses provided in a timely fashion to low-resource countries.

Knowing the death counts will also bring new insights into the “ripple effects that we are only beginning to understand such as erosion of confidence in the health system and state,” says Liana Rosenkrantz Woskie of the Harvard Global Health Institute.

There’s also a very human reason for finding the truth. “Accurate accounting of death is also one of the simplest dignities,” says Woskie. “Knowing how and why your family member died is fundamental to grieving but also to knowing that they were valued by society and their loss might help mitigate future harm.”

Copyright 2021 NPR. To see more, visit https://www.npr.org.

India: Are Countries Testing Enough To Monitor Their Outbreak

This scatter chart provides another way of seeing the extent of testing relative to the scale of the outbreak in different countries.

The chart shows the daily number of tests against the daily number of new confirmed cases , both per million people.

Looking downward on the chart, we see some countries doing ten or a hundred times fewer tests than other countries with a similar number of new confirmed cases.

Conversely, looking to the right, we see some countries find ten or a hundred times more cases than others out a similar number of tests.

Where the number of confirmed cases is high relative to the extent of testing, this suggests that there may not be enough tests being carried out to properly monitor the outbreak. In such countries, the true number of infections may be far higher than the number of confirmed cases. In a separate post we discuss how epidemiologicalmodels of COVID-19 help us estimate the true number of infections.

India’s Pandemic Death Toll Could Be In The Millions

The most comprehensive research yet estimates Indias excess deaths during the coronavirus pandemic were a staggering 10 times the official COVID-19 toll

NEW DELHI — India’s excess deaths during the coronavirus pandemic could be a staggering 10 times the official COVID-19 toll, likely making it modern Indias worst human tragedy, according to the most comprehensive research yet on the ravages of the virus in the South Asian country.

Most experts believe India’s official toll of more than 414,000 dead is a vast undercount, but the government has dismissed those concerns as exaggerated and misleading.

The report released Tuesday estimated excess deaths the gap between those recorded and those that would have been expected to be 3.4 million to 4.7 million since the pandemic began through last month. It said an accurate figure may prove elusive, but the true death toll is likely to be an order of magnitude greater than the official count.

The report was published by Arvind Subramanian, the Indian governments former chief economic adviser, and two other researchers at the Center for Global Development, a nonprofit think tank based in Washington, and Harvard University.

It said the count could have missed deaths that occurred in overwhelmed hospitals or while health care was disrupted, particularly during the devastating virus surge earlier this year.

Researchers cautioned that each method had weaknesses, such as the economic survey omitting the causes of death.

Global Implications Of Indias Actual Covid Mortality Rate

COVID-19: India records 3.52 lakh new cases, 2,812 deaths | Coronavirus update | English News

India has prided itself on keeping its case fatality ratio low. According to its official figures, there are about 290 Covid-19 deaths per million population. But estimates from this new research would put Indias death rate per million in the range reported in Latin America , where registration of deaths is far more complete, the authors note.

Indias incomplete civil registration data, which is not just a product of the pandemic, has only made it harder to capture the true impact of Covid-19 in the country. India still does not register about 3 million deaths annually and does not certify the medical cause in about 8 million, the authors write. Mortality data, the authors say, will be crucial for the handling of a potential third wave of Covid-19 in the country.

Deficiency in the Covid-19 death reporting has harmful ramifications. It limits modelers ability to predict the course of the pandemic, gauge its impact, and estimate healthcare resource needsincluding oxygen supplies and hospital beds, Mukherjee and others writing in the AJPH noted. Death not being reported reflects dishonour to the entire life of a person.

Behind The Numbers Of Indias Covid Crisis

UPDATE: Resources and information on COVID-19 testing and more.

Over the last two months, a devastating second wave of COVID-19 has swept through India. People around the world have watched as a record-breaking pace of infections burdened the nations health care system.

On May 27, two researchers who have been studying the pandemic in India for more than a year spoke to the Tufts community about the current crisis. Gagandeep “Cherry” Kang, an infectious diseases researcher at Christian Medical College in Vellore, India, is an adjunct professor at Tufts University School of Medicine and a frequent collaborator with its scientists. Bhramar Mukherjee is a biostatistician and epidemiologist at the University of Michigans School of Public Health. Their expertise provided context for Indias emergency and laid out ways to move forward.

The online event, which was moderated by Joyce Sackey, associate provost and chief diversity officer for the health sciences schools and the dean for multicultural affairs and global health at the School of Medicine, was part of a global health seminar series sponsored by the school and Tufts University. Here are some of the main takeaways from the discussion.

Mukherjee and her colleagues have built models to estimate how many cases and deaths have been missed or misclassified. According to their modeling, the virus could have infected as many as 492 million people36% of the population in Indiaand caused 1.2 million deaths.

Readers Question: Is It Safe To Go To My Hospital Appointment During A Pandemic

Over the past 12 months, people have repeatedly been told that the safest place for them is home and that hospitals are busy dealing with COVID-19 patients. While that is true, it is also important to remember that other illnesses have not gone away.

I have found that many of my patients are not attending their appointments for other conditions because they are worried about catching COVID or think their illness is not as important as coronavirus. Hospitals and GP surgeries all over the world have gone out of their way to make large parts of their buildings COVID-free. This means that they can be used for non-COVID-related services and staff working there will not be crossing over to cover COVID wards or clinics. So, if you receive an appointment to attend a clinic or hospital service, it is really important that you do go.

Indias Excess Deaths During Covid Could Be 10 Times Official Toll

Study gives most comprehensive picture yet of true toll of pandemic in India

The number of excess deaths in India during the Covid-19 pandemic could be 10 times higher than the official death toll, according to a study that estimates that between 3 million and 4.7 million more people died than would be expected between January 2020 and June 2021.

The study, carried out by the US-based Center for Global Development, examined three different sources of data to piece together one of the most comprehensive pictures yet of the pandemic in India.

Indias official Covid death count as of end-June 2021 is 400,000, the report says. The reality is, of course, catastrophically worse What is tragically clear is that too many people, in the millions rather than hundreds of thousands, may have died.

Excess deaths are a calculation of how many more people are dying across a defined period of time than usual. While not all excess deaths that occurred during the pandemic would be due to Covid, it is likely that a significant proportion were.

The report acknowledges that establishing an accurate Covid-19 death toll may prove elusive but that such a toll is likely to be an order of magnitude greater than the official count.

Indias second wave, which hit in March, was the most devastating. People died in the streets and outside hospital gates unable to get a bed or oxygen, and the healthcare system was brought to the brink of collapse.

How The India Undercount Happened

There are various reasons for the death toll discrepancies in India, as NPR’s Lauren Frayer and Sushmita Pathak reported earlier this year. Dr. Aniket Sirohi, a municipal health official in south Delhi, told NPR he counted 702 deaths on a day in mid-April and passed those numbers up the chain of command. But the death figures the government has published for his region have been at least 20% lower than what he’s seeing on the ground, he said.

He attributed this disparity to administrative chaos. People from neighboring states flock to Delhi for medical treatment. Some die in Delhi and are cremated there but remain registered as residents somewhere else. They don’t get counted anywhere, he said.

“Somehow the numbers are not getting recorded or not shown or getting missed,” Sirohi said. “India always had a poor record of maintaining these things. We have a lot of population. So there’s a bit of a problem with coordination especially in times like this , when 50% of my staff is sick.”

Why Does India Have So Many Covid Cases

A combination of the UK variant becoming dominant and a new double-mutant variant emerging has overwhelmed India.

Something has gone horribly wrong in India. Today, the country has reported 346,786 new cases of COVID-19 for the previous 24 hours, with 2,624 deaths the worlds highest daily toll since the pandemic began last year. Overall, nearly 190,000 people have died from COVID in the country, while more than 16.6 million have been infected.

The new outbreak in India is so severe that hospitals are running out of oxygen and beds, and many people who have been taken ill are being turned away.

New Zealand, Hong Kong, the UK and the US have either banned direct flights to and from India, or have advised citizens against travelling altogether; and the list may well get longer.

The UKs prime minister, Boris Johnson, who is keen to secure a post-Brexit trade deal with the country, has been forced to cancel a planned trip to India this coming week and, instead, plans to meet with President Narendra Modi virtually.

For a country where COVID numbers appeared to be dropping dramatically just a few weeks ago, what has gone so wrong in India?

The Indian variant, known as B.1.617, appears to be wreaking havoc in the country. Since April 15, India has been reporting more than 200,000 cases of coronavirus every day and its capital, Delhi, recently announced a week-long lockdown after a rise in cases there overwhelmed the healthcare system.

India: Global Vaccinations In Comparison: Which Countries Are Vaccinating Most Rapidly

Why is data on testing important?

No country knows the total number of people infected with COVID-19. All we know is the infection status of those who have been tested. All those who have a lab-confirmed infection are counted as confirmed cases.

This means that the counts of confirmed cases depend on how much a country actually tests. Without testing there is no data.

Testing is our window onto the pandemic and how it is spreading. Without data on who is infected by the virus we have no way of understanding the pandemic. Without this data we cannot know which countries are doing well, and which are just underreporting cases and deaths.

To interpret any data on confirmed cases we need to know how much testing for COVID-19 the country actually does.

The Our World in Data COVID-19 Testing dataset

Because testing is so very crucial to understanding the spread of the pandemic and responding appropriately, we have focused our efforts on building a global dataset on COVID-19 testing. 

  • And as with all our work, it is freely accessible for everyone. The data can be downloaded here on GitHub.

Results Of Indias Three National Serosurveys

At the time the results of each survey were released, they indicated infection prevalence between 13.5 and 28.5 times higher than Indias reported case counts at those points in the pandemic. The severity of underreporting may have increased or decreased since the last serosurvey was completed, but if it has held steady, that would suggest that almost half of Indias population may have had the virus.

Dr. Shioda said that even the large multipliers found in the serosurveys may rely on undercounts of the true number of infections. The reason, she said, is that the concentration of antibodies drops in the months after an infection, making them harder to detect. The number would probably be higher if the surveys were able to detect everyone who has, in fact, been infected, she said.

Those people who were infected a while ago may have not been captured by this number, Dr. Shioda said. So this is probably an underestimate of the true proportion of the population that has been infected.

Like nearly all researchers contacted for this article, however, Dr. Shioda said the estimator provided a good way to get a sense of the wide range of possible death tolls in India.

Coronavirus Disease : How Is It Transmitted

Coronavirus Deaths In India Cross 1,000-Mark, Biggest Jump In 24 Hours

We know that the disease is caused by the SARS-CoV-2 virus, which spreads between people in several different ways.

The virus can spread from an infected persons mouth or nose in small liquid particles when they cough, sneeze, speak, sing or breathe. These particles range from larger respiratory droplets to smaller aerosols.

  • Current evidence suggests that the virus spreads mainly between people who are in close contact with each other, typically within 1 metre . A person can be infected when aerosols or droplets containing the virus are inhaled or come directly into contact with the eyes, nose, or mouth.
  • The virus can also spread in poorly ventilated and/or crowded indoor settings, where people tend to spend longer periods of time. This is because aerosols remain suspended in the air or travel farther than 1 metre .

People may also become infected by touching surfaces that have been contaminated by the virus when touching their eyes, nose or mouth without cleaning their hands.

Further research is ongoing to better understand the spread of the virus and which settings are most risky and why. Research is also under way to study virus variants that are emerging and why some are more transmissible. For updated information on SARS-CoV-2 variants, please read the weekly epidemiologic updates.

Whether or not they have symptoms, infected people can be contagious and the virus can spread from them to other people.

India Records 380 Covid

New Delhi, August 30, 2021

India today recorded 380 more deaths due to COVID-19 and 42,909 new cases of infection in the last 24 hours, significantly lower than yesterday’s numbers.

The country had reported 460 COVID-19 deaths and 45,083 fresh cases of infection yesterday.

Kerala, which has been posting consistently high COVID-19 numbers for the past many weeks, accounted for more than 69 per cent of the new cases registered in the country in the last 24 hours, at 29,836, and 75 of the 380 deaths. The state had reported 31,265 new cases and 153 deaths yesterday.

The number of new cases in the country has now stayed below the 50,000-mark for 62 consecutive days now. It has, however, remained above 40,000 for five days in a row after staying below that level for 12 days.

With the latest data released by the Ministry of Health of Family Welfare this morning, the death toll so far has climbed to 438,210 today.

The total number of cases of infection till now, since the first cases of COVID-19 were reported in India in late January 2020, rose to 32,737,939 today.

Of the 380 COVID-19 deaths registered in India in the last 24 hours, Maharashtra accountd for 131, followed by 75 deaths in Kerala, 69 in Odisha, 22 in Tamil Nadu, 18 in Andhra Pradesh, 17 in Karnataka, and 11 in Uttar Pradesh.

The other states reported less than 10 deaths each in the last 24 hours.

In national capital Delhi, no COVID-19 deaths were reported during the last 24 hours.

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India: What Is The Cumulative Number Of Confirmed Cases

Related charts:

The previous charts looked at the number of confirmed cases per day this chart shows the cumulative number of confirmed cases since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic.

In all our charts you can download the data

We want everyone to build on top of our work and therefore we always make all our data available for download. Click on the Download-tab at the bottom of the chart to download the shown data for all countries in a .csv file.

Coronavirus: How Many Covid

India has registered more than 50,000 Covid-19 deaths, overtaking the UK to become the fourth-worst-affected country for fatalities.

But the number of deaths per million people stands at 34 – far lower than what has been reported in Europe or North America.

The case fatality rate or CFR, which measures deaths among Covid-19 patients, is just around 2%. Even in badly-hit state like Maharashtra the number of deaths is doubling only in about 40 days. “The death rates have kept low all along, even as cases rose,” K Srinath Reddy, president of the Public Health Foundation of India think tank, told me.

Many epidemiologists attribute this relatively low fatality rate to a young population – the elderly are typically more vulnerable. It is not clear whether other factors, such as immunity deriving from previous infections from other coronaviruses, are also responsible. Also, they point to a pattern of low mortality in South Asian countries that share a similar demographic of a younger population: reported Covid-19 deaths per million are 22 in Bangladesh and 28 in Pakistan.

Clearly, corrected for population size, India is doing far better than Europe and the United States. Yet, as Kaushik Basu, a former chief economist of the World Bank, says: “It is irresponsible to treat this as consolation”.

Prof Basu told me there are limits to the value of geographical comparisons.

“Excess deaths” are the bulk of deaths above normal levels, some of which may have been caused by Covid-19.

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