Confirmed Cases Around The World
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In the table below, countries can be reordered by deaths, death rate and total cases. In the coloured bars on the right-hand side, countries in which cases have risen to more than 10,000 per day are those with black bars on the relevant date.
Fatality Rate Based On New York City Actual Cases And Deaths
Worldometer has analyzed the data provided by New York City, the New York State antibody study, and the excess deaths analysis by the CDC. Combining these 3 sources together we can derive the most accurate estimate to date on the mortality rate for COVID-19, as well as the mortality rate by age group and underlying condition. These findings can be valid for New York City and not necessarily for other places , but they represent the best estimates to date given the co-occurrence of these 3 studies.
What To Read Watch And Listen To About Coronavirus
New Scientist Weekly features updates and analysis on the latest developments in the covid-19 pandemic. Our podcast sees expert journalists from the magazine discuss the biggest science stories to hit the headlines each week from technology and space, to health and the environment.
The Jumpis a BBC Radio 4 series exploring how viruses can cross from animals into humans to cause pandemics. The first episode examines the origins of the covid-19 pandemic.
Why Is Covid Killing People of Colour? is a BBC documentary, which investigates what the high covid-19 death rates in ethnic minority patients reveal about health inequality in the UK.
Panorama: The Race for a Vaccine is a BBC documentary about the inside story of the development of the Oxford/AstraZeneca vaccine against covid-19.
Race Against the Virus: Hunt for a Vaccineis a Channel 4 documentary which tells the story of the coronavirus pandemic through the eyes of the scientists on the frontline.
The New York Timesis assessing the progress in development of potential drug treatments for covid-19, and ranking them for effectiveness and safety.
Humans of COVID-19is a project highlighting the experiences of key workers on the frontline in the fight against coronavirus in the UK, through social media.
Belly Mujinga: Searching for the Truthis a BBC Panorama investigation of the death of transport worker Belly Mujinga from covid-19, following reports she had been coughed and spat on by a customer at Londons Victoria Station.
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Timelines Of Daily Deaths Worldwide
|Graph showing the daily count of new confirmed deaths worldwide.|
|See the date on the timeline at the bottom.|
|Graph of daily new confirmed deaths worldwide per million people.|
|See the date on the timeline at the bottom.|
Why We Need To Compare The Rates Of Death Between Vaccinated And Unvaccinated
During a pandemic, you might see headlines like Half of those who died from the virus were vaccinated.
It would be wrong to draw any conclusions about whether the vaccines are protecting people from the virus based on this headline. The headline is not providing enough information to draw any conclusions.
Lets think through an example to see this.
Imagine we live in a place with a population of 60 people.
Then we learn that of the 10 who died from the virus. And we learn that 50% of them were vaccinated.
The newspaper may run the headline Half of those who died from the virus were vaccinated. But this headline does not tell us anything about whether the vaccine is protecting people or not.
To be able to say anything, we also need to know about those who did not die: how many people in this population were vaccinated? And how many were not vaccinated?
Now we have all the information we need and can calculate the death rates:
- of 10 unvaccinated people, 5 died the death rate among the unvaccinated is 50%
- of 50 vaccinated people, 5 died the death rate among the vaccinated is 10%
We therefore see that the death rate among the vaccinated is 5-times lower than among the unvaccinated.
This example was illustrating how to think about these statistics in a hypothetical case. Below, you can find the real data for the situation in the COVID-19 pandemic now.
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Rather than trying to distinguish between types of deaths, The Economists approach is to count all of them. The standard method of tracking changes in total mortality is excess deaths. This number is the gap between how many people died in a given region during a given time period, regardless of cause, and how many deaths would have been expected if a particular circumstance had not occurred. Although the official number of deaths caused by covid-19 is now , our single best estimate is that the actual toll is people. We find that there is a 95% chance that the true value lies between and additional deaths.
The reason that we can provide only a rough estimate, with a wide range of surrounding uncertainty, is that calculating excess deaths for the entire world is complex and imprecise. Including statistics released by sub-national units like provinces or cities, among the worlds 156 countries with at least 1m people we managed to obtain data on total mortality from just 84. Some of these places update their figures regularly others have published them only once.
Our excess-deaths tally will be updated every day on this page. We hope readers return to it regularly to enrich their understanding of the path of the pandemic, around the world and over time. We will also continue trying to improve our model. Below, you can see a record of all the changes we have made to it so far.
How To Calculate The Mortality Rate During An Outbreak
At present, it is tempting to estimate the case fatality rate by dividing the number of known deaths by the number of confirmed cases. The resulting number, however, does not represent the true case fatality rate and might be off by orders of magnitudeA precise estimate of the case fatality rate is therefore impossible at present.
The case fatality rate represents the proportion of cases who eventually die from a disease.
Once an epidemic has ended, it is calculated with the formula: deaths / cases.
But while an epidemic is still ongoing, as it is the case with the current novel coronavirus outbreak, this formula is, at the very least, “naïve” and can be “misleading if, at the time of analysis, the outcome is unknown for a non negligible proportion of patients.”
In other words, current deaths belong to a total case figure of the past, not to the current case figure in which the outcome of a proportion hasn’t yet been determined.
The correct formula, therefore, would appear to be:
CFR = deaths at day.x / cases at day.x-
This would constitute a fair attempt to use values for cases and deaths belonging to the same group of patients.
One issue can be that of determining whether there is enough data to estimate T with any precision, but it is certainly not T = 0 .
Let’s take, for example, the data at the end of February 8, 2020: 813 deaths and 37,552 cases worldwide.
If we use the formula we get:
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Data Sources And How To Use These Charts
The data on confirmed cases and confirmed deaths shown in these visualizations is updated daily and is published by Johns Hopkins University, the best available global dataset on the pandemic.
The data on testing was collected by us more detail can be found here.
How to use these charts:
- On many charts it is possible to add any country by clicking on Add country.
- Other charts can only show the data for one country at a time these charts have a change country option in the bottom left corner of the chart.
- Many charts have a blue adjustable time-slider underneath the charts.
Licensing and how to embed our charts
We license all charts under Creative Commons BY and they can be embedded in any site. Here is how.
Country-by-country data on the pandemic
This page has a large number of charts on the pandemic. In the box below you can select any country you are interested in or several, if you want to compare countries.
All charts on this page will then show data for the countries that you selected.
The doubling time of confirmed deaths
Confirmed COVID-19 deaths by country
Total confirmed COVID-19 deaths
Are countries bending the curve for COVID-19 deaths?
Trajectories of total deaths
Trajectories of per capita deaths
How Do Death Rates From Covid
To understand how the pandemic is evolving, its crucial to know how death rates from COVID-19 are affected by vaccination status. The death rate is a key metric that can accurately show us how effective vaccines are against severe forms of the disease. This may change over time when there are changes in the prevalence of COVID-19, and because of factors such as waning immunity, new strains of the virus, and the use of boosters.
On this page, we explain why it is essential to look at death rates by vaccination status rather than the absolute number of deaths among vaccinated and unvaccinated people.
We also visualize this mortality data for the United States, England, Switzerland, and Chile.
Ideally we would produce a global dataset that compiles this data for countries around the world, but we do not have the capacity to do this in our team. As a minimum, we list country-specific sources where you can find similar data for other countries, and we describe how an ideal dataset would be formatted.
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Cumulative Monthly Death Totals By Country
Biden Extends The National Pandemic Emergency First Declared In March 2020
By Vimal Patel
President Biden said on Friday that he would extend the national emergency that was first declared in March 2020 in response to the coronavirus pandemic. The additional authority had been set to expire on March 1.
The decision, contained in a letter from Mr. Biden to Congress that the White House made public, comes as a wave of coronavirus cases driven by the highly transmissible Omicron variant recedes in the United States, and many states and localities ease pandemic restrictions.
But the pandemic is taking a continuing toll on the country. As of Friday, more than 75,000 Americans were hospitalized with the virus. Deaths, which lag case counts by as much as several weeks, are increasing in 14 states, and remain at almost 2,300 a day nationally.
The Covid-19 pandemic continues to cause significant risk to the public health and safety of the nation, Mr. Biden wrote in the letter. More than 900,000 people in this nation have perished from the disease, and it is essential to continue to combat and respond to Covid-19 with the full capacity and capability of the federal government.
A national emergency conveys special powers. It frees the federal government from abiding by some legal constraints, allowing it to spend additional money and more easily take certain actions.
The pandemic emergency would have expired had Mr. Biden not alerted Congress of his intention to extend it.
By Maggie Astor
By Vimal Patel
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Vaccine Development: Vaccines Approved For Use And In Clinical Trials
The speed at which the first COVID-19 vaccines were developed was extraordinary. We have previously looked into the history of vaccine development. The measles vaccine was found relatively rapidly: it took only 10 years from the discovery of the pathogen to the development of the first vaccine. But for typhoid it took more than a century, and for some diseases for which weve known the pathogens for more than a century we still havent found an effective vaccine.
The development of a vaccine against COVID-19 has been much faster than the development of any other vaccine. Within less than a year several successful vaccines have already been announced and were approved for use in some countries.
The hope is that even more manufacturers develop vaccines for COVID-19. This will be important because eventually a very large share of the world population needs to receive a COVID-19 vaccine.
We are on the way to several vaccines against COVID-19 vaccine trackers monitor the progress:
Several institutions maintain websites on which they list COVID-19 candidate vaccines that are currently being developed:
|Oxford/AstraZeneca, Sinopharm/Beijing, Sinovac, Sputnik V|
Us Figure Skater Barred From Olympics Closing Ceremony As Close Contact After Covid Recovery
Nearly two years into the COVID-19 pandemic, the United States reached a grim milestone surpassing 900,000 deaths from the virus on Friday following a surge of the highly-infectious omicron variant, less than two months after reaching 800,000.
According to the latest data compiled by Johns Hopkins University, 901,388 Americans have succumbed to the coronavirus over the last two years, more than the populations of major American cities such as San Francisco, Indianapolis and Charlotte.
The bleak toll comes 13 months into the United States vaccination campaign. To date, 212,481,465 Americans, or 64.3% of the country, are fully vaccinated.
On Feb. 4, a total of 4,151 Americans died from the virus, with a seven-day average of 3,391 daily deaths, the highest numbers since January 2021, according to the universitys data.
Despite all its wealth and technology, the US has by and large the highest death toll reported of any country in the world. Brazil is next in line with roughly 630,000 reported COVID-19 deaths, followed by India with roughly 500,000 deaths reported.
The milestone prompted a statement from President Joe Biden, in which he mourned those who have died and implored Americans to get vaccinated.
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How Did Coronavirus Spread
Covid-19 was first detected in the city of Wuhan, China, in late 2019 but the outbreak spread quickly across the globe in the first months of 2020.
It was declared a global pandemic by the WHO on 11 March 2020.
A pandemic is when an infectious disease is passing easily from person to person in many parts of the world at the same time.
The Pandemics True Death Toll: Millions More Than Official Counts
Last years Day of the Dead marked a grim milestone. On 1 November, the global death toll from the COVID-19 pandemic passed 5 million, official data suggested. It has now reached 5.5 million. But that figure is a significant underestimate. Records of excess mortality a metric that involves comparing all deaths recorded with those expected to occur show many more people than this have died in the pandemic.
Working out how many more is a complex research challenge. It is not as simple as just counting up each countrys excess mortality figures. Some official data in this regard are flawed, scientists have found. And more than 100 countries do not collect reliable statistics on expected or actual deaths at all, or do not release them in a timely manner.
Demographers, data scientists and public-health experts are striving to narrow the uncertainties for a global estimate of pandemic deaths. These efforts, from both academics and journalists, use methods ranging from satellite images of cemeteries to door-to-door surveys and machine-learning computer models that try to extrapolate global estimates from available data.
Sources: Our World in Data/The Economist/IHME
The uncertainty in this estimate is a discrepancy the size the population of Sweden. The only fair thing to present at this point is a very wide range, says Sondre Ulvund Solstad, a data scientist who leads The Economists modelling work. But as more data come in, we are able to narrow it.