Global Statistics

All countries
620,178,407
Confirmed
Updated on September 25, 2022 4:40 pm
All countries
598,749,022
Recovered
Updated on September 25, 2022 4:40 pm
All countries
6,540,217
Deaths
Updated on September 25, 2022 4:40 pm

Global Statistics

All countries
620,178,407
Confirmed
Updated on September 25, 2022 4:40 pm
All countries
598,749,022
Recovered
Updated on September 25, 2022 4:40 pm
All countries
6,540,217
Deaths
Updated on September 25, 2022 4:40 pm
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When Will Covid End 2021

We Dont Want The Virus To Win

Coronavirus vaccine: By the end of 2021 we should be in a good place: Physician

The uncertainties over what the virus will do in coming months present a messaging challenge for the Biden administration. The White House needs people to see the pandemic as a real and present threat to public health, one that requires continued precautions and universal vaccination. Officials simultaneously want to be perceived as being on top of the situation.

What they dont want to do is get caught prematurely celebrating the positive trends of recent weeks. That happened earlier this year, when vaccine uptake was going well, infection numbers were dropping, and the Biden administration felt confident enough to project the Fourth of July as the start of a summer largely free of the virus.

Today, were closer than ever to declaring our independence from a deadly virus, President Biden said in his July 4 remarks. Weve gained the upper hand against this virus. We can live our lives, our kids can go back to school, our economy is roaring back.

The delta variant, detected but underestimated, blew the summer of freedomto smithereens. A July 4 party on the South Lawn of the White House became Bidens aircraft carrier moment, in the words of Noymer, the University of California at Irvine epidemiologist. Noymer was invoking the episode during the Iraq War when President George W. Bush flew to a Navy ship and spoke under a Mission Accomplished banner even though the war was, as it turned out, years and many thousands of casualties from being over.

What Will Another Pandemic Winter Bring

Some experts say that at least one more wave of infection, hospitalization and death may stand between the United States and endemicity. As Eric Topol, a professor of molecular medicine at Scripps Research, points out in The Guardian, cases are once again surging across Europe, and only countries with very high vaccination rates such as Spain and Portugal which have fully vaccinated 80 and 88 percent of their total populations have resisted the trend.

The United States, by contrast, has fully vaccinated only 59 percent of its total population. Now is the time for the U.S. to heed the European signal for the first time, to pull out all the stops, Topol writes. We can acknowledge and accept endemicity that a low level of Covid will remain in the background, but that is not > 75,000 new cases a day. Instead of succumbing to yet another major rise in cases and their sequelae, this is a chance for America to finally rise to the occasion, showing an ability to lead and execute.

An appropriate response, in Topols view, would include promoting not just primary vaccination but also boosters for a wider segment of the population to compensate for waning immunity.

Hes not alone: In a recent interview with The Times, Dr. Anthony Fauci, Americas top infectious disease official, said that Israeli data had led him to believe that everyone in the United States will eventually need a booster to be fully immunized against the coronavirus.

Million Antiviral Doses And 100 Million Tests

More treatments for COVID may also reduce deaths without directly curbing the spread of the disease.

Another way to think about this is to wait for the two antivirals that are due to be reviewed later this year by the FDA, says Gandhi, to say that we have enough prevention and treatment tools in our toolbox.

Those drugs, Mercks molnupiravir, and Pfizers paxlovid, have been found to reduce hospitalization and death by 50 to 90 percent in clinical trials when administered to newly-diagnosed COVID patients. Merck plans to manufacture 10 million courses by the end of 2021, and Pfizer expects to make close to 200,000 more.

Both are expensive compared to vaccinesthe US plans to pay $712 per round of molnupiravir at first. But Merck will allow generic drug manufacturers around the world to make the drug and distribute it. The New York Times reported that prices could fall as low as $20 per treatment in low-income countries.

But they have one pitfall: they need to be given within days of infection, which means that communities need to have widespread access to testing for the therapies to make an impact. Those things really need to go hand in hand, says Taylor. We cant send out the therapeutics without also increasing diagnostics.

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A Simple Way To Prepare For Disaster

Whether the federal government will bring back the CERB or not remains to be seen. The feds ran a $380 billion deficit in 2020, thanks in no small part to the CERB and other programs like it. Most likely, the CERB wont come backat least not in its original form. It would simply be too costly to manage the program.

Fortunately, you can still prepare for disaster by investing. By holding index funds like the iShares S& P/TSX 60 Index Fund in a TFSA, you can establish a tax-free rainy day fund that grows over time. Funds like XIU are highly diversified, which reduces the risk inherent in the investment. Theyre not risk-free, but theyre less risky than individual stocks and have substantial potential for returns. Over time, they may grow your emergency savings and keep you from needing benefits like the CERB.

XIU is one of my personal favourite index funds because of its ample diversification, low fees, and broad exposure to Canadian equities. I mention this fund just as an example. There are hundreds of ETFs out there to choose from, and others may be better for your individual needs. As always, do your homework, and speak with a financial advisor before making major financial decisions.

Fool contributor Andrew Button owns shares of iSHARES SP TSX 60 INDEX FUND. The Motley Fool recommends Twitter.

How The Pandemic Might Play Out In 2021 And Beyond

Coronavirus crisis could last until 2021

Scenarios such as this one imagine how the COVID-19 pandemic might play out. Around the world, epidemiologists are constructing short- and long-term projections as a way to prepare for, and potentially mitigate, the spread and impact of SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19. Although their forecasts and timelines vary, modellers agree on two things: COVID-19 is here to stay, and the future depends on a lot of unknowns, including whether people develop lasting immunity to the virus, whether seasonality affects its spread, and perhaps most importantly the choices made by governments and individuals. A lot of places are unlocking, and a lot of places arent. We dont really yet know whats going to happen, says Rosalind Eggo, an infectious-disease modeller at the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine .

The future will very much depend on how much social mixing resumes, and what kind of prevention we do, says Joseph Wu, a disease modeller at the University of Hong Kong. Recent models and evidence from successful lockdowns suggest that behavioural changes can reduce the spread of COVID-19 if most, but not necessarily all, people comply.

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The ‘ugly’ Scenario: Vaccines Falter And America Doesn’t Achieve Herd Immunity In 2021

The defining characteristic of an “ugly” scenario is that America fails to achieve herd immunity in 2021. The most likely way this could occur would be if existing vaccines don’t effectively protect against new coronavirus variants, or if the immunity conveyed by infections or vaccinations turns out to fade quickly.

In this scenario, 2021and even 2022could look a lot like 2020.

We could see new rounds of stay-at-home orders and lockdowns, more stringent than any put into place since April 2020. The U.S. economy, which so far has been buoyed by hopes of a rapid bounce-back from the epidemic, could crater. Divided political leaders in Washington may struggle to pass relief packages, amplifying the suffering. The failure of early vaccines could lead to a resurgence of vaccine skepticism.

Further, there’s suggestive evidence that some of the new coronavirus variants might cause more severe symptoms, which could further overwhelm hospitals and ICUs and cause hundreds of thousands of new deaths. And many people, after years of arranging their lives around an epidemic, could simply give up on social distancing, driving even more infections.

In this scenario, the coronavirus could even become an endemic human diseasethe sort of durable, deadly pathogen that wealthy nations haven’t dealt with since the middle of the 20th century.

Australia And Omicron: How And When Will The Covid Pandemic Actually End

We were looking forward to a summer of relative normality, then along came a new coronavirus variant

It was meant to be Australias summer of hope.

With vaccination rates against Covid-19 high, international travel restarting, and most states opening domestic borders in time for Christmas, it was time for life to return to relative normality our new normal.

There was still unease. Parts of the world are in the grips of a fourth Covid wave and reintroducing harsh restrictions even as vaccination rates rise. But experts hoped Australias high vaccination rates, booster rollout, warm summer, and readiness to reintroduce restrictions like masks if cases escalated would allow a more normal way of life into the new year.

Then, the Omicron variant arrived. Australias international borders once again closed to some countries, creating uncertainty and chaos as urgent talks were held about the variant. It has left many people asking when and how will this pandemic end?

Head of the University of Melbournes school of population health, Prof Nancy Baxter, said theres no getting rid of Covid-19.

But the hope is that Covid-19 becomes endemic, Baxter says that is it becomes a relative constant presence circulating in the general population, behaving more predictably and mildly thanks to high rates of immunity, with any outbreaks not spreading beyond specific pockets of the population.

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Orders 18 19 20 21 22 And 24

  • Order 18-2020 permitted attendance at certain locations and places, including retail businesses, restaurants and museums daycares, out-of-school care and post-secondary institutions, provided persons adhere to public health measures and guidance. This Order applied throughout the province of Alberta, with some exceptions within the cities of Calgary and Brooks
  • Order 19-2020 permitted attendance at certain locations and places, including retail businesses and museums effective May 14 and restaurants, hair salons and others effective May 25, provided persons adhere to public health measures and guidance. This Order applied within the cities of Calgary and Brooks
  • Order 20-2020 permitted attendance of up to 50 people in a group, in an outdoor location, provided persons adhere to public health measures and guidance
  • Previous exemptions and modifications to orders 18-2020 and 19-2020

    Staying Ahead Of Crisis Or Falling Behind

    End of 2021 to early 2022 realistic rollout for COVID vaccination Galvez

    Even amid the Covid waves that have come, there have been surprise signs of resiliency and surprising ways in which companies have succeeded.

    Cities are proving resilient, according to Marks.

    “Urbanization has trumped infectious diseases over and over again. … Urbanization is continuing in the U.S., but especially globally,” she said.

    In China alone, for the nation to reach its 65% urban population target, eight more New York Cities will need to be added.

    “Cities are back, they’re not coming back, cities are back globally,” Marks said.

    Otis Worldwide has seen a rapid shift to digital sales in key urbanization markets which the CEO would not have expected to be possible. “No one believed that we’d be able to actually sell a life safety device like an elevator online, in a totally digital mode and configure that, and we’re doing that now on our entry level line in India,” Marks said.

    But there is significant risk for any company that expects a return to a former state of normal, said Hassane El-Khoury, CEO of chip companyOnsemi.

    His company supplies to the auto industry and he thinks 2022 is going to be a defining moment for autos.

    He said the companies that will succeed are applying the disruption mindset as a way to approach problems and solve problems that “they don’t even know exist yet. But they know they will.”

    Adamolekun sees a similar bifurcation in the restaurant business.

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    Coronavirus Infections Are Down Hopes Are Up But Uncertain Forecasts Put The Biden Administration In A Pandemic Messaging Bind

    The pandemic isnt over. But new cases nationally have dropped below 75,000 a day, less than half the number in August. The United States will soon reopen land borders to vaccinated visitors and lift several international travel restrictions. More than 2 million people boarded flights last Sunday, not too far from pre-pandemic travel levels.

    Kids, many of them newly vaccine-eligible, are back in school, with no massive surge of new coronavirus infections. Some older students, forced to mask, wear their face coverings as if they were chin guards.

    The holidays are coming, and it wont be like 2020 this time. Its already obvious in the Halloween decorations, so over-the-top it looks like people are overcompensating for last years depressed trick-or-treating.

    The pandemic appears to be winding down in the United States in a thousand subtle ways, but without any singular milestone, or a cymbal-crashing announcement of freedom from the virus.

    It doesnt end. We just stop caring. Or we care a lot less, Jennifer Nuzzo, an epidemiologist at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, said when asked when the pandemic would be over. I think for most people, it just fades into the background of their lives.

    And although aggregate national numbers are lower, many cold-weather states, particularly in the Mountain West, have recently seen a rise in cases and hospitalizations. Alaska, slipping into its dark winter, has the highest infection rate in the nation.

    Fears About The Great Resignation

    The Great Resignation and how to recruit and retain employees remains high on the list of fears among CEOs across the economy, and expected volatility will exacerbate this labor market challenge.

    Labor has been the major concern in a lot of industries, and the restaurant industry is high on the list. The labor force is shrinking and employers need to be more competitive within that shrinking pool, and relative to competitors. “It is something that keeps us up at night in the restaurant business,” Adamolekun said.

    But even in industries less sensitive to acute shortages, hiring and retaining workers is the top fear for many CEOs.

    “What we’re all seeing and experiencing … are very varied levels of volatility fatigue among our teams, and actually ebbs and flows,” Welch said. “Because sometimes you’ve got your core team and everybody is let’s, ‘oh, yes, this volatility is the new normal, let’s just go, let’s go.’ And then other times you have key people who are decision fatigued because to be making decisions, when you have no visibility is draining.”

    “The war on talent in 2022 is going to only intensify,” Grant said. “It’s about game-changing people policies, like gender neutral parental leave, for not only corporate workers, but frontline workers. It’s about institutionalized flexibility. It’s about true commitment to diversity actions. And I think those things are going to become true differentiators in this war for talent in 2022,” he said.

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    What Is The Omicron Variant

    Over the weekend, the World Health Organization warned of a new COVID-19 variant of concern, naming it after the Greek alphabet letter name of omicron, as I wrote for the Deseret News.

    • Reports of omicron cases began during the holiday break. There have been case reports across Europe, North America and Africa.
    • The variant which has the scientific name B.1.1.529 has at least 30 mutations in the spike protein and 10 mutations in the ACE2 receptor, which allows the virus to potentially evade vaccines, as per the Deseret News.

    Related

    Omicron variant: We knew this was coming, Utah doctor says of new COVID-19 strain

    When Will Covid End

    Most Canadians could be vaccinated against COVID

    David Hamer, a BU School of Public Health and School of Medicine professor of global health and of medicine, discusses with BU Today editor Doug Most the future of the pandemic, what must happen next for the coronavirus to become more of a seasonal virus, and if annual booster shots will be a key step.

    For more information, check out Hamers recent interview with The Brink, Myths vs Facts: Making Sense of COVID-19 Vaccine Misinformation, where he debunks widespread myths about the vaccines, the Delta variant, and more.

    You can also find this episode on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, , and other podcast platforms.

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    World Aids Day Report Unequal Unprepared Under Threat: Why Bold Action Against Inequalities Is Needed To End Aids Stop Covid

    Format

    INTRODUCTION AND SUMMARY

    COLLIDING PANDEMICS

    Humanity is threatened by an expanding list of pandemics. AIDS is colliding with COVID-19 to deadly effect because much of the world remains dangerously under-prepared and under-resourced to confront the pandemics of today and tomorrow.

    Over four decades, advances in science, human rights and public health investment have driven remarkable success against AIDS for some locations and populations. This progress has shown what is possible when countries and communities work together against a deadly contagion.

    Considerable gaps remain. Entrenched inequalities stand in the way of further progress against AIDS and leave the world vulnerable to future pandemics. The colossal new challenges created by COVID-19 threaten the gains made thus far.

    Just six months before this years World AIDS Day, United Nations Member States agreed to a new approachto address inequalities, to close gaps in HIV service access by 2025 and to get on track to the global goal of ending AIDS by 2030. Those agreed actions are not being made at the required speed and scale.

    Five critical elements of the Global AIDS Strategy that are needed to strengthen global pandemic prevention, preparedness and response architecture

    Primary country

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