Global Statistics

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Updated on June 23, 2022 8:27 pm
All countries
Updated on June 23, 2022 8:27 pm
All countries
Updated on June 23, 2022 8:27 pm

Global Statistics

All countries
Updated on June 23, 2022 8:27 pm
All countries
Updated on June 23, 2022 8:27 pm
All countries
Updated on June 23, 2022 8:27 pm
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When Will Covid End In India

Past Pandemics Teach Us That It Always Ebbs And Flows In Waves Warning Against Any Premature Celebration Of Defeat

COVID-19 Vaccine: Limited Sputnik V Doses By April-End In India, 850 Million Doses Annually

Stock markets crash globally, wiping off massive investor wealth amid fears of a return of 2020-like lockdowns. Unnerved, many asked just one question: When, after all, will this pandemic end?

The answer may lie in history. The three pandemics between 1817 and 1920 show they stay for a while and come in waves before dying down.

Whats needed is alertness and an ability to manage it well, to reduce mortality and the economic impact the two core matrix that matter in a pandemic, says Chinmay Tumbe, an economics professor at the Indian Institute of Management, Ahmedabad.

His recent book,The Age of Pandemics : How They Shaped India and The World , chronicles cholera , plague and influenza , which collectively claimed over 72 million lives globally 40 million in India.

About a century ago, influenza took a toll on Indias society and economy. The case fatality ratio was about 10 per cent, and nearly 60 per cent of the population had caught the infection in 1918. The GDP shrank by 10 per cent and inflation surged to 30 per cent. The book notes that the pandemic brought renewed attention to the state of public finances and health a focus area for the government today, too. The inadequacy of medical facilities in India was also stressed to seek more budgetary allocations towards health, it says, about the 1918 pandemic, but rings true with Covid-19, too.

Omicron To End Pandemic

The Omicron variant may contribute to that, since the infected cases are usually mild with faster recovery.

Although it is more transmissible than the Delta variant, it is also less virulent.

Therefore, Omicron may be our way out of the pandemic.

The situation in India may stabilise in the next 4-6 weeks provided that the public doesnt become complacent and lower their guards prematurely and no new variants emerge.

Panda said that according to mathematical projection, the Omicron wave should last at three months starting December 11.

Lack Of Social Distancing

Large groups of people flock to a crowded flea market in Delhi’s neighboring city of Gurgaon, a part of the national capital region. Despite attempts from local authorities to ensure that visitors adhere to COVID-related rules, social distancing remains a distant dream in markets like these. In some cases, mask-wearing shoppers were seen pulling down their masks to bargain for the best price.

COVID: Life slowly coming back to normal in India

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Paying A High Price For Covid

“Eventually countries will enter the endemic phase, but because we are in a pandemic, things can change unexpectedly,” she said.

The WHO chief added that mass blood sampling in India has shown 65% seroprevalence for coronavirus, which is an indication of the level of antibodies in a population.

That combined with increased vaccination coverage “should provide some protection against a severe third wave,” Swaminathan said.

“However, the unknown variables here are the appearance of a new variant and the duration of protective efficacy of currently available vaccines. Continued surveillance is important,” she added.

As India eases pandemic-related restrictions, health officials are monitoring the possibility of new variants emerging.

And localized outbreaks continue to be a problem in India. Although the pandemic is on the retreat overall, the southern state of Kerala has become a major exception.

COVID: Life slowly coming back to normal in India

All Pandemics Of The Past Have Come To An End Covid

On the front lines of Indias second wave of COVID

The only infectious disease to have been entirely eliminated till date, according to the World Health Organisation , is smallpox. It took nearly 200 years after a vaccine was developed to prevent smallpox, caused by a virus.

Covid-19 is a one-and-a-half-year-old disease. Now, scientists are noticing that immunological characteristics that govern the transition of Covid-19 are indicating an endemicity of the coronavirus infection.

The researchers examining the current Covid-19 pandemic trend and comparing it with past pandemics are of the view that the coronavirus infection may become endemic, and end as a seasonal illness.

They have developed a model to predict the outcome of the Covid-19 pandemic. The success of the model depends a lot on how efficiently vaccination drives are undertaken worldwide and also on the behavioural containment practices adopted by the public and government agencies.

Our analysis of immunological and epidemiological data on endemic human coronaviruses shows that infection-blocking immunity wanes rapidly but that disease-reducing immunity is long-lived, the researchers said.

Our model, incorporating these components of immunity, recapitulates both the current severity of SARS-CoV-2 infection and the benign nature of HCoVs, suggesting that once the endemic phase is reached and primary exposure is in childhood, SARS-CoV-2 may be no more virulent than the common cold, the scientists said.

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Mighty Or Small Few Were Spared The Pandemic’s Horrors

Mahatma Gandhi and Rabindranath Tagore were among the millions who grieved the loss of near ones when influenza ripped through the country in 1918. Popular accounts say that Gandhi had contracted the flu in the second half of 1918 and was seriously ill. His son Harilal lost his wife Gulab and son Shanti to the pandemic.

Nobel laureate Tagore, who too was afflicted by the influenza, saw a member of his extended family losing the battle for life.

Should India Worry About A Fresh Wave

A controversial modelling study by scientists at IIT, India’s top technology school, has predicted a fourth wave beginning in June and peaking in August.

But many epidemiologists are deeply sceptical of the study and cautiously optimistic about the future.

One reason, they say, is that most Indians have acquired protective immunity to the virus by contracting the infection or by getting the vaccine. Also, a majority of Indians are vaccinated – and many have had breakthrough infections after being jabbed.

“We are in a good place. We have a high level of vaccination and the government should be commended for that. We also have a high level of infection in the population which we acquired during several waves,” says Dr Gagandeep Kang, one of India’s top virologists.

Secondly, the uptick of cases in Europe and elsewhere is being caused by an easily spread sub-variant of Omicron called BA.2. In February, Indian scientists sampling sequences reported that BA.2 – a virus which is also better able to evade the vaccine – was already the dominant strain fuelling the country’s Omicron surge.

In other words, India’s BA.2-driven wave appears to be over. “The possibility of a large-scale nationwide wave of infections in India in the near future is very low,” says Dr Chandrakant Lahariya, a physician epidemiologist.

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Why Is India Far From Reaching Herd Immunity

The latest sero survey – studies that pick up antibodies – suggests 21% of adults and 25% of children have been already infected with the virus.

It also found that 31% of people living in slums, 26% of non-slum urban populations and 19% living in rural areas have been exposed to the virus. That’s far below 50% – a figure reported by some of the bigger cities, such as Pune and Delhi. Here, there is evidence of much higher levels of exposure to the virus, hinting that these places are likely closer to herd immunity.

But experts say the numbers are still too low.

“There is no region in the country which can be deemed to have attained herd immunity, though small pockets may exist,” Dr K Srinath Reddy, president of the Public Health Foundation of India, a Delhi-based think tank, told me.

So people who have still not been exposed to the virus in places with high prevalence of infection may remain protected in their communities but would become vulnerable if they travelled to areas where transmission levels are lower.

Pandemic Has Not Ended As More Variants Expected: Who Chief Scientist

“We are in the endgame of COVID-19 pandemic in India”, says HM Harsh Vardhan

Noting that the decision onthird dose of COVID-19 vaccine for all adults will be taken based on scientific need, the government on Thursday said emerging knowledge on the subject is under its active consideration.

Fully vaccinated international passengers from 82 countries will bepermitted quarantine-free entry from February 14, the Ministry of Health and Family Welfare said on Thursday.

You can trackcoronavirus cases, deaths and testing rates at the national and State levelshere . A list ofState Helpline numbers is available as well.

Here are the updates :

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What Science And Doctors Say About The Future Of The Pandemic

On July 18, when Indian Council of Medical Research epidemiologist Samiran Panda predicted that a not-so-severe third wave could hit the nation as early as end of August, it sent alarm bells ringing across social media and in households. “I haven’t met my friends for 18 months because my parents have comorbidities. At this age, not being able to socialise and be outdoors is stifling. I feel my life is wasting away in front of me,” says Nishita Khanna, a 26-year-old Delhi-based animation artist. Like her, millions in the country have been waiting endlessly for the moment when they can resume their lives, free of the threat of another upcoming wave of infections. “Earlier this year we thought things were back to normal and then Covid wrecked the country again. That fear is still present in the minds of many–we will think it is over and it will be back again,” says Kolkata-based entrepreneur Deep Chhabaria.

Coronavirus Highlights: India Recorded 67597 New Cases Of Covid

Maharashtra on Tuesday recorded 6,107 new coronavirus cases, 329 less than the day ago, and 57 fresh deaths linked to the infection, while 16,035 more patients recovered from the disease. With these additions, the overall tally of Covid-19 cases increased to 78,16,243, while the death toll jumped to 1,43,155, the state health department said.

As per the bulletin, the number of recovered cases in Maharashtra increased to 75,73,069 after 16,035 patients were discharged during the day, leaving the state with 96,069 active cases. On Monday, the state had recorded 6,436 new cases and 24 fatalities. According to the department, till date, a total of 3,334 patients infected with the highly contagious Omicron variant have been reported in the state. Out of these, 2,023 patients have been discharged following a negative RT-PCR test. The coronavirus fatality rate in the state is 1.83 per cent, while the recovery rate is 96.89 per cent, it said.

Today’s Covid numbers: Delhi , Mumbai , Bengaluru , Chennai , Kolkata

Mumbai on Tuesday reported 447 new Covid cases.

Positive Pts. – 447Discharged Pts. – 798Total Recovered Pts. – 10,27,891

Mumbai, BMC

Schools in Haryana will reopen from February 10 for Classes 1 to 9. Online classes will also continue, the state government has said.

Ardern’s warning came as hundreds of protesters gathered outside the parliament building in the capital Wellington, demanding an end to coronavirus restrictions and vaccine mandates.

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Singapore Eases Safety Measures On Coronavirus But Minister Warns Of New Variant Risk

At some point, the World Health Organization will determine when enough countries have tamped down their COVID-19 cases sufficiently or at least, hospitalizations and deaths to declare the pandemic officially over. Exactly what that threshold will be isnt clear. Even when that happens, some parts of the world still will struggle especially low-income countries that lack enough vaccines or treatments while others more easily transition to what scientists call an endemic state.

Spain has become one of the nations to start calling Covid an endemic and stated that humanity can survive the milder seasonal outbreaks. However, some scientists worry governments could use the somewhat vague term to justify lifting life-saving measures.

According to evolutionary virologist, Ariz Katzourakis, from the University of Oxford, the word ‘endemic’ has become one of the most misused of the pandemic. “A disease can be endemic and both widespread and deadly,” he wrote in the journal Nature, where he stated that malaria killed more than 600,000 people in 2020, while 1.5 million died of tuberculosis.

The UK governments scientific advisory body, SAGE has laid out other scenarios beyond the terms pandemic or endemic. These scenarios have been predicted for the years to come. Under the “reasonable best-case” scenario, there will be smaller regional or seasonal outbreaks, as the higher Covid numbers lead to fewer flu cases, reports AFP.

When Will Covid End In India Experts Explain What’s In Store After Omicron

Will Coronavirus end Indias tapri chai culture?

2 min read.Livemint

  • Unless we see four weeks of low and stable COVID numbers with only minor fluctuations, we cannot call the valley as endemic just as yet, an expert said
Listen to this article

In India, the COVID might enter the endemic stage soon unless a new variant surprises us, a noted virologist commented. He further added, the possibility of endemic cannot be counted unless the country shows low and stable numbers of COVID-19 cases for four straight weeks. This comes at a time when the third wave of COVID-19 is plateauing in India. For the last nine days, the daily COVID tally has remained below 1 lakh.

When case numbers in a community are plotted on graphs, the pattern of rise, peak and fall represent epidemic and case numbers as a horizontal steady state are called endemic. When an epidemic pattern repeats, we call each a wave,” Dr T Jacob John, former director of the Indian Council for Medical Research’s Centre of Advanced Research in Virology, told news agency PTI

“So unless we see four weeks of low and stable numbers with only minor fluctuations, we cannot call the valley as endemic just as yet,” John asserted.

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Covid 202: After An Omi

TWC India

Memories of the trauma of the second wave of COVID-19 in India in April-June of 2021 will haunt many of us for the rest of our lives. On April 30, 2021, India became the first country in the world to report a whopping four lakh confirmed cases within 24-hours.

Fortunately, the COVID case and death counts stayed low in India in the second half of 2021, giving us a renewed sense of comfort and complacency. However, a large part of the world started experiencing a viral blizzard in November-December of 2021, with the latest Omicron variant defeating the shield of protection from past infection and vaccination. Even in India, the numbers started rising sharply in the last few days of December.

And in the first week of January, most states and cities across the country have been reporting an unprecedented surge in new cases. On Wednesday, January 5, Mumbai reported more than 15,000 new cases in 24 hours, moving past the peak of 11,163 during the second wave.

We should look at the data before enforcing policies that have crushing consequences on human lives: we have two years of data from natural experiments we should know what public health measures are most effective in India. Night curfews are probably neither necessary nor sufficient and cause disruption to public life without reducing significant transmission. If I were a policymaker, these would be my top 10 priorities and guiding mantras to navigate the Omicron wave:

Indian Open Canceled China Open Postponed On European Tour

The Indian Open was canceled and the China Open was postponed as restrictions associated with the pandemic continued to cause problems on the European tour.

The Indian Open had been postponed from its original scheduled date of Feb. 17 -20 but now will not take place at all in 2022. Tour officials said Thursday the event is expected to return next year.

The China Open was scheduled for April 28-May 1 but will now take place either later in 2022 or early in the 2023 season, the tour said, âdue to ongoing restrictionsâ related to COVID-19.-AP

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Shanghai Resident Mistakenly Sent To Morgue While Still Alive

Dr. Bhavna Lall is an internal medicine physician and a clinical assistant professor at the University of Houston College of Medicine. Dr. Pooja Gala is a clinical assistant professor in the Department of Medicine and Department of Population Health at New York University. Dr. Reshma Gupta is an associate professor of Internal Medicine at University of California Health in Sacramento. Dr. Jay Bhatt is an internal medicine physician and on faculty at the University of Illinois Chicago School of Public Health. Dr. Shikha Jain is an assistant professor of medicine in the Division of Hematology and Oncology at the University of Illinois in Chicago. Dr. Ali Khan is a general internist in Chicago. Dr. Lipi Roy is an internal medicine physician and medical director of COVID Isolation and Quarantine Sites for Housing Works in New York City. Dr. Vineet Arora is the Herbert T. Abelson professor of medicine at University of Chicago Medicine . The opinions expressed here are their own. Read more opinion at CNN.

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Is India Entering The Endemic Stage

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Noting that the Omicron receding fast in India, John said that the endemic stage might come soon unless another variant surprises us.

“Omicron wave is receding so fast that in a few more days we may reach the valley, but we will wait for four weeks to be sure of endemic prevalence,” he said.

“My intelligent guess: we will slip into an endemic phase for many months without any more waves with Alpha, Beta, Gamma, Delta or Omicron. It will be most unlikely that yet another variant that will spread faster than Omicron and more efficient in immune evasion that Delta or Omicron will emerge,” John said.

“However, just as Omicron surprised us, another weird variant could surprise us yet again,” he warned.

John also said that during the endemic phase, some will be infected, sick, hospitalised and even die.

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